Welcome!

I am a Senior Research Fellow at the Experimental and Behavioral Economics (EEG) group at the Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics.

I am an applied micro-economist working at the intersection of development economics, political economy, and behavioral economics. My research examines how shocks—such as insurgent violence, territorial occupation, or shifts in political representation—shape individual choices, social norms, and institutional resilience. I am particularly interested in how conflict affects human development and fragile communities.

You can find my CV here.

Publications

Levine, D. K., Martinelli, C. & Stoelinga, N. (2026) Vote or fight? The Economic Journal.
Stoelinga, N., & Tähtinen, T. (2026). Conflict and democratic preferences. World Development, 202, 107341.
Stoelinga, N. (2024). Cultivation and competition in Colombia: Disentangling the effects of coca price changes on violence. Journal of International Development, 36(2), 1007-1042.
Stoelinga, N. (2022). Estimating the alliance effect: a synthetic control approach. Defence Studies, 22(2), 277-294.

Working papers

Beyond violence: The educational consequences of insurgent rule [PDF]
Audience-Revealed Social Desirability in Survey Data

Work in progress

Democratic complacency (with Tuuli Tähtinen)
Progressive Law and Regressive Norms: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in India

Teaching

The economics of climate change policy (Master level, full lecturer). University of Cologne, 2025-2026.

International economics (Bachelor level, teaching assistant). New York University, 2020.

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